<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" standalone="yes"?><rss version="2.0" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Georg M. Goerg</title><link>https://gmge.org/</link><description>Recent content on Georg M. Goerg</description><generator>Hugo</generator><language>en-US</language><lastBuildDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2026 13:00:00 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://gmge.org/index.xml" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><item><title>Building decision guidance for claims examiners</title><link>https://gmge.org/work/evolutioniq-decision-guidance/</link><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 0001 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/work/evolutioniq-decision-guidance/</guid><description>EvolutionIQ&amp;rsquo;s AI guidance for frontline claims examiners.</description></item><item><title>Opening the workers' comp market with three new products</title><link>https://gmge.org/work/workers-comp-three-products/</link><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 0001 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/work/workers-comp-three-products/</guid><description>Three new workers&amp;rsquo; compensation products, each with a full engineering team.</description></item><item><title>The LLM platform that cut building an extractor from a week to under an hour</title><link>https://gmge.org/work/llm-platform/</link><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 0001 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/work/llm-platform/</guid><description>An NLP/LLM platform for EvolutionIQ&amp;rsquo;s product teams.</description></item><item><title>Alerting and anomaly detection at Google</title><link>https://gmge.org/work/google-alerting-anomaly-detection/</link><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 0001 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/work/google-alerting-anomaly-detection/</guid><description>Statistical machine learning for alerting and anomaly detection at Google.</description></item><item><title>From a LinkedIn reply to a NeurIPS workshop paper</title><link>https://gmge.org/posts/dose-response-collaboration/</link><pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2026 13:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/posts/dose-response-collaboration/</guid><description>Igor Shuryak asked a question about radiotherapy dosing on LinkedIn. I replied, we ended up working on it together, and the paper is out at a NeurIPS 2026 workshop.</description></item><item><title>What all the pangrams say about how people play</title><link>https://gmge.org/posts/pangramble-leaderboard/</link><pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/posts/pangramble-leaderboard/</guid><description>I went through the public Pangramble leaderboard. Everyone reaches for QUICK, FOX and JAZZ, and the shortest sentences use made-up words.</description></item><item><title>Ranking the members of an LLM council</title><link>https://gmge.org/posts/llm-council-ranking-members/</link><pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/posts/llm-council-ranking-members/</guid><description>A fork of Karpathy&amp;rsquo;s llm-council that ranks the council members with a Plackett-Luce model and lets a human join.</description></item><item><title>How I built Pangramble</title><link>https://gmge.org/projects/pangramble/</link><pubDate>Sun, 20 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/projects/pangramble/</guid><description>A daily pangram game, built in plain TypeScript to learn the language.</description></item><item><title>About Me</title><link>https://gmge.org/about/</link><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 0001 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/about/</guid><description>&lt;div class="proof"&gt;&#10; &lt;p class="proof-line visually-hidden"&gt;CMU, PhD in Statistics (Early world models: forecasting dynamic systems) → Google, Staff Tech Lead (Ads engineering, personalization, revenue alerting (patent)) → EvolutionIQ, Founding engineer ($730M&amp;#43; exit) → Today, Director of Engineering &amp;amp; Head of AI&lt;/p&gt;&lt;ol class="timeline" hidden aria-hidden="true" style="--n: 4"&gt;&#10; &lt;li class="tl-node" style="--i: 0"&gt;&lt;span class="tl-years"&gt;2009–2012&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="tl-mark"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="tl-label"&gt;CMU&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="tl-detail"&gt;PhD in Statistics&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="tl-detail"&gt;Early world models: forecasting dynamic systems&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;/li&gt;&#10; &lt;li class="tl-node" style="--i: 1"&gt;&lt;span class="tl-years"&gt;2013–2020&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="tl-mark"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="tl-label"&gt;Google&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="tl-detail"&gt;Staff Tech Lead&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="tl-detail"&gt;Ads engineering, personalization, revenue alerting (patent)&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;/li&gt;&#10; &lt;li class="tl-node" style="--i: 2"&gt;&lt;span class="tl-years"&gt;2020–&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="tl-mark"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="tl-label"&gt;EvolutionIQ&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="tl-detail"&gt;Founding engineer&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="tl-detail"&gt;$730M&amp;#43; exit&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;/li&gt;&#10; &lt;li class="tl-node" style="--i: 3"&gt;&lt;span class="tl-years"&gt;Now&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="tl-mark"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="tl-label"&gt;Today&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="tl-detail"&gt;Director of Engineering &amp;amp; Head of AI&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;/li&gt;&#10;&lt;/ol&gt;&#10;&#10;&lt;figure class="cycle"&gt;&#10; &lt;figcaption class="cycle-caption" hidden&gt;How the work fits together&lt;/figcaption&gt;&#10; &lt;div class="cycle-ring"&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="cycle-loop" hidden aria-hidden="true"&gt;&#10; &lt;svg viewBox="-50 -50 100 100" focusable="false"&gt;&#10; &lt;circle class="cycle-orbit" r="40" pathLength="1" transform="rotate(-90)"/&gt;&#10; &lt;path class="cycle-dart" d="M4 0L-4 -4L-1.6 0L-4 4Z" transform="translate(34.64 -20.00) rotate(60.00)"/&gt;&#10; &lt;circle class="cycle-node" cx="0.00" cy="-40.00" r="5"/&gt;&#10; &lt;path class="cycle-dart" d="M4 0L-4 -4L-1.6 0L-4 4Z" transform="translate(0.00 40.00) rotate(180.00)"/&gt;&#10; &lt;circle class="cycle-node" cx="34.64" cy="20.00" r="5"/&gt;&#10; &lt;path class="cycle-dart" d="M4 0L-4 -4L-1.6 0L-4 4Z" transform="translate(-34.64 -20.00) rotate(300.00)"/&gt;&#10; &lt;circle class="cycle-node" cx="-34.64" cy="20.00" r="5"/&gt;&#10; &lt;/svg&gt;&#10; &lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;p class="cycle-line"&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="cycle-item is-top" style="--x: 50.00%; --y: 10.00%"&gt;&lt;a class="cycle-link" href="https://gmge.org/research/"&gt;&lt;span class="cycle-name"&gt;Research&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="cycle-detail" hidden&gt;&lt;span class="visually-hidden"&gt;: &lt;/span&gt;PhD and publications in top ML, AI, and statistics conferences and journals&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="cycle-item is-right" style="--x: 84.64%; --y: 70.00%"&gt;&lt;span class="cycle-sep"&gt; · &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a class="cycle-link" href="https://gmge.org/work/evolutioniq-decision-guidance/"&gt;&lt;span class="cycle-name"&gt;Engineering&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="cycle-detail" hidden&gt;&lt;span class="visually-hidden"&gt;: &lt;/span&gt;Founding engineer · AI guidance platform · NLP/LLM platform&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;span class="cycle-item is-left" style="--x: 15.36%; --y: 70.00%"&gt;&lt;span class="cycle-sep"&gt; · &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a class="cycle-link" href="https://gmge.org/about/#bio"&gt;&lt;span class="cycle-name"&gt;Leadership&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="cycle-detail" hidden&gt;&lt;span class="visually-hidden"&gt;: &lt;/span&gt;ML team grown from 4 to 20; hiring, mentoring and engineering culture; workers&amp;#39; comp org across 3 new products; founded AI Labs&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&#10; &lt;/p&gt;&#10; &lt;/div&gt;&#10;&lt;/figure&gt;&#10;&#10;&lt;/div&gt;</description></item><item><title>Research</title><link>https://gmge.org/research/</link><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 0001 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/research/</guid><description>&lt;h2 id="featured"&gt;Featured&lt;/h2&gt;&#10;&lt;p id="wmhs-2026"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Setting a Dose versus Observing One: Continuous Dose-Response Estimation under Right-Censoring&lt;/strong&gt;&#10;Georg M. Goerg and &lt;a href="https://www.crr.columbia.edu/profile/igor-shuryak-md"&gt;Igor Shuryak&lt;/a&gt; (Columbia University).&#10;Accepted at the &lt;a href="https://wmhs-neurips.github.io/WMHS/"&gt;NeurIPS 2026 Workshop on World Models for High-Stakes Health (WMHS)&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&#10;&lt;p&gt;PSPS-CS is a deep mixture-of-experts model that estimates whole dose-response&#10;curves for continuous treatments, such as a radiotherapy dose, when outcomes&#10;are right-censored survival times and confounding is strong. In simulations it&#10;was competitive with five other estimators.&#10;On a real head and neck cancer cohort the data support no dose contrast and no&#10;change in current clinical practice; the model is meant as a complementary&#10;tool for hypothesis generation.&lt;/p&gt;</description></item><item><title>Software</title><link>https://gmge.org/software/</link><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 0001 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><guid>https://gmge.org/software/</guid><description>&lt;h2 id="python"&gt;Python&lt;/h2&gt;&#10;&lt;p&gt;Install these from GitHub; packages with similar names on PyPI belong to other people.&lt;/p&gt;&#10;&lt;ul&gt;&#10;&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://github.com/gmgeorg/pyforeca"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;pyforeca&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;: Forecastable Component Analysis.&lt;/li&gt;&#10;&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://github.com/gmgeorg/pypsps"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;pypsps&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;: Predictive State Propensity Subclassification, causal deep learning in Keras.&lt;/li&gt;&#10;&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://github.com/gmgeorg/torchlambertw"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;torchlambertw&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;: Lambert W x F distributions in PyTorch.&lt;/li&gt;&#10;&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://github.com/gmgeorg/pylambertw"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;pylambertw&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;: scikit-learn interface to Gaussianize heavy-tailed, skewed data.&lt;/li&gt;&#10;&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://github.com/gmgeorg/pypress"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;pypress&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;: Predictive State Smoothing (PRESS), non-parametric regression in Keras.&lt;/li&gt;&#10;&lt;/ul&gt;&#10;&lt;h2 id="r"&gt;R&lt;/h2&gt;&#10;&lt;p&gt;The R packages &lt;a href="https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/ForeCA/index.html"&gt;ForeCA&lt;/a&gt;&#10;and &lt;a href="https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/LambertW/index.html"&gt;LambertW&lt;/a&gt; are&#10;on CRAN.&lt;/p&gt;</description></item></channel></rss>